Trans. Apr 17 8:36 ET (Apr 17 8:36 ET ) The playoffs begin on Saturday, thankfully, which means it’s that lovely time of spring (and it is spring, right? It’s not going to snow again, is it?) when the minds behind Ball Don’t Lie offer you their thoughts on the upcoming pairings in the first round of the NBA’s postseason.
Kelly Dwyer’s Old Grey Whistle Test
If you’re just checking in now, you’d be forgiven for wondering just how the Brooklyn Nets made it to the 2014 NBA playoffs. Actually, if you’re just checking in now, you likely missed the early season swoon these Nets cobbled together while you were paying attention to various brands of football. A team featuring Kevin Garnett, Paul Pierce and Deron Williams would seem to be a postseason lock, as the springtime championship attempt commences.
The Nets had to work through an extremely challenging set of conditions before righting the ship, though. Lead assistant coach Lawrence Frank was booted from rookie head coach Jason Kidd’s staff in the first month for allegedly watering down Kidd’s touch, tone and impact from the bench. Brook Lopez, by far the best player on the team at the time, was lost for the season to a foot injury in the days before Christmas . The team played a hellacious schedule, working up a series of back-to-backs and four-games-in-five-nights runs in anticipation of the team’s midseason “vacation” jaunt to play a contest in London.
Garnett was aging before our eyes, Pierce needed months to top 40 percent from the field, many questioned Kidd’s abilities as a head man, no help via draft picks was forthcoming, and Williams’ once-stellar game was nowhere to be seen.
The team then railed off five wins in six tries in the last days before the London trip. The break surrounding the game in England helped, the schedule de-stiffened, and the wins started piling up. Kidd had his team of oldsters playing small, with Pierce at big forward, and even the loss of Garnett (who played just five contests after February) was offset by the ascension of rookie Mason Plumlee. Suddenly, the Nets are right back to where we’d thought they’d be entering 2013-14 – unpredictable, old as hell, and seemingly one matchup away from doing some real postseason damage.
The Toronto Raptors, meanwhile, hadn’t even made the postseason in six years, and they sure as hell weren’t supposed to be in contention heading into this season. After years of dealing for 40-some wins, new general manager Masai Ujiri dealt former stalwart shooters Andrea Bargnani and Rudy Gay for draft picks and cap relief. The team had no idea what it wanted to do with firebrand, free agent to-be point guard Kyle Lowry , and everyone involved in the organization was left awaiting further hammer strokes from the new boss in town.
The team responded by winning. It utilized depth and Lowry’s deft touch, taking in increasingly efficient production from swingmen DeMar DeRozan and Terrence Ross. It forced heaps of turnovers and got to the line a ton, and most importantly it gave beleaguered Raptors fans something to finally cheer for outside of lottery odds.
How long this lasts is left to be determined. The Raptors aren’t exactly shrinking violets, in spite of their relative youth (hell, the Easter Island statues look young compared to the Nets), but the team has provided some fitful play down the stretch of close games this year. Brooklyn has not – swingman Joe Johnson has enjoyed a historically clutch season towards the end of nail-biters, Pierce remains a killer go-to option late in games, and Williams has a history of being able to clear for a good look with the digits winding down.
Lotta history there, but this is what the Nets were created for. If this series goes seven contests, a good possibility for two pretty solid teams, its term could be spread out over 15 days. That’s fantastic news for a Nets team that spends half its year in a bucket filled with ice, and not so great news for a young Raptors team that probably wanted to start this series yesterday.
In all, though, it’s nice to see the Nets turn their season around, and these Toronto Raptors turn their franchise around. How much more “around” both teams will be this year will probably be determined by fourth-quarter play, and if the younger Raps want to earn a semblance of the name recognition that the Nets’ stars have, this is a good time to start creating positive headlines.
Prediction: Nets in six.
Dan Devine's One Big Question
Every postseason matchup has its own unique set of variables for each team, and prognosticator, to attempt to solve. Here's one that BDL's Dan Devine has been mulling over.
Are the Nets too experienced for the Raptors?
The 2013-14 postseason begins with what might be the closest matchup on the board. The Atlantic Division foes split their season series at two wins apiece. Three of the four matchups were decided by four or fewer points, and the lone exception -- a 96-80 Raptors win in Toronto back in January -- came with Brooklyn playing the second game of a road back-to-back after a double-overtime win over the Miami Heat without Deron Williams and Kevin Garnett. Both teams have been lights out since the start of 2014, to boot.
Brooklyn posted the East's second-best post-Jan. 1 record, going 34-17 thanks in large part to Jason Kidd's tactical switch (prompted by losing Brook Lopez for the season) to more opportunistic, long-limbed lineups featuring Garnett at the five spot, Paul Pierce to the four, Joe Johnson at small forward and Shaun Livingston alongside Williams in a two-point-guard backcourt. That five-man unit wrecked the league in limited floor time, holding opponents to a microscopic offensive efficiency (89.9 points per 100 possessions) that would have been far and away the league's stingiest D over the full season, and outscoring opponents by a whopping 17.5 points-per-100 in 129 minutes.
When Garnett couldn't go, Mason Plumlee stepped in, and that unit kept rolling. It was much leakier defensively, as you'd expect when replacing one of the greatest defensive players ever with a freshman, but with the Duke product dunking everything, Williams-Livingston-Johnson-Pierce-Plumlee lit up defenses to the tune of 113.7 points-per-100, far above the Los Angeles Clippers' league-leading mark, in 284 minutes. The Nets finally found the on-court identity that had long eluded them -- play small(ish), play aggressive, force turnovers, take advantage of mismatches in the post and hunt 3-pointers (33 percent of their shots since Jan. 1 have come from beyond the arc, the highest share in the league) -- and it's suited them.
Toronto also experienced a December shake-up after Rudy Gay and reserves Quincy Acy and Aaron Gray were shipped to Sacramento in exchange for swaggering Greivis Vasquez, floor-spacing Patrick Patterson, swingman John Salmons and big man Chuck Hayes. The Raptors went an East-leading 42-22 after that, and ranked as one of four teams -- and the only one from the East -- to finish in the top 10 in both points scored and allowed per possession after Jan. 1. (The three from the West: the Los Angeles Clippers, Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs.)
With Gay gone, the Raps leaned into a guard-centric, pick-and-roll-heavy attack. Kyle Lowry proved himself one of the East's best point guards, averaging more than 20 points, seven assists and five rebounds per game after the All-Star break. Rising star DeMar DeRozan stepped up his season-long assault on the rim, averaging 9.1 free-throw attempts per game after the All-Star break en route to per-game career highs in points, rebounds and assists. Toronto attacks the glass on both ends, relying on Amir Johnson, Jonas Valanciunas and famed pest Tyler Hansbrough to set strong screens and do interior dirty work. Sophomore Terrence Ross hectors ball-handlers on the perimeter and soars in transition, Vasquez keeps the offense humming with the second unit, and when his shot's going down, Patterson can be a valuab
The Scoop:A report earlier in March suggested that Bargnani might miss the rest of the season, a fate which becomes more likely with each passing day. With New York thriving thanks to small lineups, there's even less incentive for Bargnani to get back onto the court.
The Scoop:One of the team-friendly reports coming out from the New York Post was that Bargnani could return two weeks after the All Star break, but that was probably smoke to make the Knicks appear less desperate for a power forward. There is no official timetable for his return and he's probably done for the year at this rate.
The Scoop:This sounds like educated speculation rather than an official update on Bargnani's status, but a beat writer's estimate is better than nothing. How Bargs will fit back into the lineup once he's healthy is another question, as the Knicks have found some success by reverting to small lineups with Carmelo Anthony at PF.
The Scoop:A ligament in Bargnani's right (shooting) elbow is completely torn. A doctor that has not examined Bargnani estimates a 3-6 week timetable, but we know this player is not the fastest healer. Furthermore, coach Mike Woodson said he plans on sticking with his small lineup for the foreseeable future. Bargnani is safe to drop in most formats.
Things have only gotten worse since Wednesday's loss to the Philadelphia 76ers at home, plummeting the Knicks to 0-3 on their eight-game home stretch. On top of that, Andrea Bargnani, New York's second-leading scorer, will miss three to six weeks with a torn ligament in his left arm. I guess it's good news that he doesn't need surgery, but is it better news that the Knicks will now be forced into playing their successful small-ball style of play? Going down the line here, the Knicks are without Amar'e Stoudemire, Kenyon Martin, Metta World Peace, and now Andrea Bargnani.
Andrea Bargnani's failed dunk is costing him more than his pride, and it's only added to the New York Knicks' injured list. So far, the Charlotte Bobcats are doing just fine without leading scorer Kemba Walker. With Bargnani out indefinitely, the Knicks will try to snap a five-game slide when they host the Bobcats on Friday night. New York (15-27) is already dealing with an injury-riddled frontcourt, as Amare Stoudemire and Kenyon Martin are nursing sore ankles while Metta World Peace is out with a sore left knee.
Bargnani has a torn ligament in his left elbow and is out indefinitely.
The Scoop:Bargnani was hurt Wednesday during a 110-106 loss to Philadelphia when he landed hard while attempting to dunk. He had an MRI on Thursday that revealed the injury. Bargnani is averaging 13.3 points, second on the team, in his first season in New York. The Knicks acquired the No. 1 pick in the 2006 draft from Toronto during the summer.
NEW YORK (AP) -- The New York Knicks say forward Andrea Bargnani has a torn ligament in his left elbow and is out indefinitely.
The Scoop: None.
Jan 23 4:58 ET
News (various sources)
Report: Woodson wants to know status before meeting (The SportsXchange) (1 Day Ago | courtesy: The SportsXchange) New York Knicks coach Mike Woodson does not want to meet face-to-face with new team president Phil Jackson until he is informed whether or not he will be retained for next season, ESPN reported Friday. An announcement on Woodson's status likely will not come until next week, according to ESPN The Magazine. The New York Daily News reported Thursday night that Jackson and Woodson were scheduled to talk over the phone Friday to plan a meeting or work out the terms of Woodson's departure. More...